Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Southern Petrochemical Industries Corporation Limited's (NSE:SPIC) Earnings Pushing Shares 29% Lower

NSEI:SPIC
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Southern Petrochemical Industries Corporation Limited (NSE:SPIC) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 29% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 21%.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Southern Petrochemical Industries' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 29x and even P/E's above 54x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Southern Petrochemical Industries' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Southern Petrochemical Industries

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SPIC Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Southern Petrochemical Industries will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Southern Petrochemical Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 32% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 144% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Southern Petrochemical Industries' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Southern Petrochemical Industries' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Southern Petrochemical Industries currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Southern Petrochemical Industries you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Southern Petrochemical Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.