Stock Analysis

Shah Alloys (NSE:SHAHALLOYS) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NSEI:SHAHALLOYS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Shah Alloys Limited (NSE:SHAHALLOYS) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shah Alloys

What Is Shah Alloys's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shah Alloys had ₹1.17b of debt in March 2022, down from ₹1.84b, one year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:SHAHALLOYS Debt to Equity History June 1st 2022

A Look At Shah Alloys' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shah Alloys had liabilities of ₹2.56b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹327.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹2.40m and ₹138.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹2.74b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹1.49b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Shah Alloys would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Shah Alloys's net debt is only 0.81 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 60.4 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that Shah Alloys grew its EBIT by 406% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shah Alloys will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last two years, Shah Alloys produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 79% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Shah Alloys is not finding it easy, given its level of total liabilities, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Shah Alloys is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Shah Alloys (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.