Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against Shah Alloys Limited's (NSE:SHAHALLOYS) Share Price Following 30% Dive

NSEI:SHAHALLOYS
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The Shah Alloys Limited (NSE:SHAHALLOYS) share price has softened a substantial 30% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 34%, which is great even in a bull market.

Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies operating in India's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, you may consider Shah Alloys as an attractive investment with its 0.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Shah Alloys

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SHAHALLOYS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 26th 2024

What Does Shah Alloys' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Shah Alloys' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shah Alloys will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shah Alloys would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.0% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 14% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why Shah Alloys' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Shah Alloys' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Shah Alloys revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shah Alloys (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant).

If you're unsure about the strength of Shah Alloys' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.