Stock Analysis

Privi Speciality Chemicals (NSE:PRIVISCL) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:PRIVISCL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Privi Speciality Chemicals Limited (NSE:PRIVISCL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Privi Speciality Chemicals

How Much Debt Does Privi Speciality Chemicals Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Privi Speciality Chemicals had debt of ₹9.10b, up from ₹5.37b in one year. However, it also had ₹493.9m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹8.61b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:PRIVISCL Debt to Equity History June 21st 2022

How Healthy Is Privi Speciality Chemicals' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Privi Speciality Chemicals had liabilities of ₹9.29b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹4.28b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹493.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹2.78b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹10.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Privi Speciality Chemicals has a market capitalization of ₹40.7b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Privi Speciality Chemicals has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.5 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.9 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Unfortunately, Privi Speciality Chemicals's EBIT flopped 13% over the last four quarters. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Privi Speciality Chemicals's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Privi Speciality Chemicals burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Mulling over Privi Speciality Chemicals's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Privi Speciality Chemicals's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Privi Speciality Chemicals (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.