Polyplex Corporation Limited (NSE:POLYPLEX) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 12th of December to ₹9.00. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 0.8%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
See our latest analysis for Polyplex
Polyplex's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Polyplex's earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. We think that cash flows should take priority over earnings, so this is definitely a worry for the dividend going forward.
Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 15.6% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 27%, which is definitely feasible to continue.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was ₹2.00, compared to the most recent full-year payment of ₹9.00. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 16% over that duration. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Polyplex's earnings per share has shrunk at 16% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Polyplex's payments are rock solid. While Polyplex is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Polyplex (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:POLYPLEX
Polyplex
Engages in the manufacture and sale of polymeric films in India, other Asian countries, Europe, the Americas, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.