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- NSEI:PAKKA
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Pakka Limited's (NSE:PAKKA) 27% Price Drop
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Pakka Limited (NSE:PAKKA) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 41% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, Pakka's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 26x and even P/E's above 49x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
For example, consider that Pakka's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Pakka
Is There Any Growth For Pakka?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Pakka's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 7.7% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Pakka's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Final Word
The softening of Pakka's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Pakka maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Pakka that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Pakka's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:PAKKA
Pakka
Engages in the manufacture and dealing of paper and moulded products in India and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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