Navin Fluorine International Limited (NSE:NAVINFLUOR) Just Recorded An Earnings Miss And Analysts Are Updating Their Numbers

Navin Fluorine International Limited (NSE:NAVINFLUOR) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. Results look to have been somewhat negative - revenue fell 6.3% short of analyst estimates at ₹5.2b, and statutory earnings of ₹11.85 per share missed forecasts by 6.3%. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Navin Fluorine International after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Navin Fluorine International

Following the latest results, Navin Fluorine International's 25 analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹24.0b in 2025. This would be a solid 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 10% to ₹57.51. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹25.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹62.42 in 2025. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a small dip in earnings per share estimates.

The analysts made no major changes to their price target of ₹3,718, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Navin Fluorine International's valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Navin Fluorine International at ₹4,247 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹2,698. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Navin Fluorine International's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 26% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 18% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 13% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Navin Fluorine International to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Navin Fluorine International. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at ₹3,718, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Navin Fluorine International going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Navin Fluorine International , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.