Stock Analysis

Robust Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Nahar Poly Films (NSE:NAHARPOLY)

NSEI:NAHARPOLY
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Last week's profit announcement from Nahar Poly Films Limited (NSE:NAHARPOLY) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. We think that the market might be paying attention to some underlying factors are concerning.

See our latest analysis for Nahar Poly Films

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:NAHARPOLY Earnings and Revenue History June 8th 2021

A Closer Look At Nahar Poly Films' Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Nahar Poly Films has an accrual ratio of 0.25 for the year to March 2021. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of ₹580m despite its profit of ₹626.1m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Nahar Poly Films generated positive FCF of ₹189m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Nahar Poly Films.

Our Take On Nahar Poly Films' Profit Performance

Nahar Poly Films' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Nahar Poly Films' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Nahar Poly Films as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Nahar Poly Films (1 is potentially serious) you should be familiar with.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Nahar Poly Films' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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