Stock Analysis

We Think Maan Aluminium (NSE:MAANALU) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:MAANALU
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Maan Aluminium Limited (NSE:MAANALU) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Maan Aluminium

What Is Maan Aluminium's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Maan Aluminium had ₹457.0m of debt at September 2023, down from ₹767.3m a year prior. On the flip side, it has ₹45.7m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹411.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MAANALU Debt to Equity History January 3rd 2024

A Look At Maan Aluminium's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Maan Aluminium had liabilities of ₹667.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹41.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹45.7m as well as receivables valued at ₹965.1m due within 12 months. So it actually has ₹301.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that Maan Aluminium has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Maan Aluminium's net debt is only 0.64 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 26.5 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Maan Aluminium has boosted its EBIT by 34%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Maan Aluminium's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Maan Aluminium reported free cash flow worth 9.8% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

The good news is that Maan Aluminium's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Maan Aluminium's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Maan Aluminium that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Maan Aluminium is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.