Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Maan Aluminium Limited (NSE:MAANALU) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Maan Aluminium
What Is Maan Aluminium's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Maan Aluminium had ₹767.3m of debt, an increase on ₹641.2m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Healthy Is Maan Aluminium's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Maan Aluminium had liabilities of ₹1.05b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹79.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹11.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.21b due within 12 months. So it can boast ₹90.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Maan Aluminium could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Maan Aluminium's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 18.3 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Maan Aluminium has boosted its EBIT by 63%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Maan Aluminium's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Maan Aluminium actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
Maan Aluminium's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Maan Aluminium is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Maan Aluminium (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MAANALU
Maan Aluminium
Engages in the manufacturing and trading of aluminum profiles, ingots, billets, and other related products in India.
Flawless balance sheet low.