Some Investors May Be Worried About Kiri Industries' (NSE:KIRIINDUS) Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Kiri Industries (NSE:KIRIINDUS) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Kiri Industries is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.011 = ₹226m ÷ (₹24b - ₹3.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, Kiri Industries has an ROCE of 1.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 15%.
Check out our latest analysis for Kiri Industries
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Kiri Industries, check out these free graphs here.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Kiri Industries' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 7.6% over the last five years. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
On a related note, Kiri Industries has decreased its current liabilities to 13% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
Our Take On Kiri Industries' ROCE
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Kiri Industries have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Since the stock has skyrocketed 129% over the last five years, it looks like investors have high expectations of the stock. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Kiri Industries, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
While Kiri Industries isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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About NSEI:KIRIINDUS
Kiri Industries
Manufactures and sells dyes, dye intermediates, and basic chemicals in India and internationally.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.