Stock Analysis

Improved Earnings Required Before Kiri Industries Limited (NSE:KIRIINDUS) Shares Find Their Feet

NSEI:KIRIINDUS
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.4x Kiri Industries Limited (NSE:KIRIINDUS) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 37x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Kiri Industries as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Kiri Industries

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NSEI:KIRIINDUS Price Based on Past Earnings August 18th 2020
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kiri Industries will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Kiri Industries?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Kiri Industries would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 217%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 12% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.6% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Kiri Industries is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Kiri Industries' P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Kiri Industries revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Kiri Industries that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Kiri Industries. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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