Stock Analysis

We Think Kingfa Science & Technology (India) (NSE:KINGFA) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:KINGFA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Kingfa Science & Technology (India) Limited (NSE:KINGFA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Kingfa Science & Technology (India)

What Is Kingfa Science & Technology (India)'s Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Kingfa Science & Technology (India) had debt of ₹312.1m at the end of September 2022, a reduction from ₹657.4m over a year. However, it does have ₹211.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹100.3m.

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NSEI:KINGFA Debt to Equity History January 1st 2023

How Healthy Is Kingfa Science & Technology (India)'s Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Kingfa Science & Technology (India) had liabilities of ₹4.93b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹196.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹211.8m in cash and ₹3.55b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹1.36b.

Of course, Kingfa Science & Technology (India) has a market capitalization of ₹15.4b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Carrying virtually no net debt, Kingfa Science & Technology (India) has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Kingfa Science & Technology (India) has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.084 and EBIT of 32.0 times the interest expense. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Better yet, Kingfa Science & Technology (India) grew its EBIT by 158% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Kingfa Science & Technology (India)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Kingfa Science & Technology (India) actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

The good news is that Kingfa Science & Technology (India)'s demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Kingfa Science & Technology (India) takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Kingfa Science & Technology (India) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.