Stock Analysis
There's Reason For Concern Over Kanpur Plastipack Limited's (NSE:KANPRPLA) Price
There wouldn't be many who think Kanpur Plastipack Limited's (NSE:KANPRPLA) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Packaging industry in India is similar at about 1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Kanpur Plastipack
How Has Kanpur Plastipack Performed Recently?
Kanpur Plastipack certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the share price, and thus the P/S ratio, from rising. Those who are bullish on Kanpur Plastipack will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kanpur Plastipack will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Kanpur Plastipack's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kanpur Plastipack would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. Still, revenue has fallen 3.8% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Kanpur Plastipack is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Kanpur Plastipack's P/S?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at Kanpur Plastipack revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Kanpur Plastipack (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Kanpur Plastipack's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KANPRPLA
Kanpur Plastipack
Manufactures and trades in industrial packaging solutions in India and internationally.