Stock Analysis

Hisar Metal Industries (NSE:HISARMETAL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:HISARMETAL
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Hisar Metal Industries Limited (NSE:HISARMETAL) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hisar Metal Industries

What Is Hisar Metal Industries's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Hisar Metal Industries had ₹615.9m of debt, at March 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. On the flip side, it has ₹34.0m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹581.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:HISARMETAL Debt to Equity History June 28th 2021

A Look At Hisar Metal Industries' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hisar Metal Industries had liabilities of ₹813.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹224.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹34.0m as well as receivables valued at ₹410.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹593.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹764.5m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Hisar Metal Industries' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Hisar Metal Industries has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.9 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.6 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On the other hand, Hisar Metal Industries grew its EBIT by 25% in the last year. If it can maintain that kind of improvement, its debt load will begin to melt away like glaciers in a warming world. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hisar Metal Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Hisar Metal Industries produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 51% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Hisar Metal Industries's interest cover and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Hisar Metal Industries is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Hisar Metal Industries has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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