Hisar Metal Industries Limited (NSE:HISARMETAL) Stock Rockets 29% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Hisar Metal Industries Limited (NSE:HISARMETAL) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Looking further back, the 10% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

After such a large jump in price, Hisar Metal Industries may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.1x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 25x and even P/E's lower than 14x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Hisar Metal Industries over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Hisar Metal Industries

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hisar Metal Industries will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Hisar Metal Industries' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 40%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 61% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hisar Metal Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Hisar Metal Industries' P/E?

Hisar Metal Industries' P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Hisar Metal Industries currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Hisar Metal Industries (1 is significant!) that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Hisar Metal Industries. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.