Stock Analysis

Here's Why Century Plyboards (India) (NSE:CENTURYPLY) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:CENTURYPLY
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Century Plyboards (India) Limited (NSE:CENTURYPLY) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Century Plyboards (India)

What Is Century Plyboards (India)'s Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Century Plyboards (India) had debt of ₹7.18b, up from ₹3.13b in one year. However, it does have ₹671.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹6.51b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:CENTURYPLY Debt to Equity History June 26th 2024

How Healthy Is Century Plyboards (India)'s Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Century Plyboards (India) had liabilities of ₹10.8b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.61b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹671.4m in cash and ₹4.25b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹8.53b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Century Plyboards (India) shares are worth a total of ₹155.9b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Century Plyboards (India) has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.2. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 14.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the bad news is that Century Plyboards (India) has seen its EBIT plunge 14% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Century Plyboards (India)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Century Plyboards (India) saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Century Plyboards (India)'s conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Century Plyboards (India) is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Century Plyboards (India) is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Century Plyboards (India) is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com