Stock Analysis

Here's What's Concerning About Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries' (NSE:AMBICAAGAR) Returns On Capital

NSEI:AMBICAAGAR
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries (NSE:AMBICAAGAR) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.058 = ₹108m ÷ (₹2.2b - ₹344m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).

So, Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries has an ROCE of 5.8%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 18%.

Check out our latest analysis for Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries

roce
NSEI:AMBICAAGAR Return on Capital Employed September 2nd 2022

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries' past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries Tell Us?

In terms of Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 16% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

On a side note, Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 16% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

The Bottom Line

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries' diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Since the stock has skyrocketed 105% over the last year, it looks like investors have high expectations of the stock. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.

If you want to continue researching Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries, you might be interested to know about the 3 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.