Take Care Before Jumping Onto Agro Phos (India) Limited (NSE:AGROPHOS) Even Though It's 27% Cheaper
Agro Phos (India) Limited (NSE:AGROPHOS) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 9.7% during the last year.
Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies operating in India's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.4x, you may consider Agro Phos (India) as an attractive investment with its 0.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Agro Phos (India)
What Does Agro Phos (India)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Agro Phos (India) recently, which is not something to boast about. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this benign revenue growth rate will likely underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Agro Phos (India) will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Agro Phos (India), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Agro Phos (India)'s is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 85% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 12%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
With this information, we find it odd that Agro Phos (India) is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Agro Phos (India)'s P/S
Agro Phos (India)'s P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We're very surprised to see Agro Phos (India) currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Agro Phos (India) you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AGROPHOS
Agro Phos (India)
Engages in the manufacture and sale of fertilizers in India.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.