Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping General Insurance Corporation of India's (NSE:GICRE) Muted Earnings Despite A 26% Share Price Rise

General Insurance Corporation of India (NSE:GICRE) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 47% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 34x, you may still consider General Insurance Corporation of India as a highly attractive investment with its 10.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for General Insurance Corporation of India as its earnings have been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping earnings don't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for General Insurance Corporation of India

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GICRE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think General Insurance Corporation of India's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
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How Is General Insurance Corporation of India's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like General Insurance Corporation of India's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.8% gain to the company's bottom line. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 183% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 1.4% each year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that General Insurance Corporation of India is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

General Insurance Corporation of India's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that General Insurance Corporation of India maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for General Insurance Corporation of India that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:GICRE

General Insurance Corporation of India

Provides reinsurance services in India and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.

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