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Honasa Consumer Limited (NSE:HONASA) Soars 40% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
Honasa Consumer Limited (NSE:HONASA) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 40% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Honasa Consumer's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Personal Products industry in India, where the median P/S ratio is around 5.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Check out our latest analysis for Honasa Consumer
What Does Honasa Consumer's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for Honasa Consumer as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Honasa Consumer's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Honasa Consumer?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Honasa Consumer's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 127% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 13% each year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.4% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Honasa Consumer's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Honasa Consumer's P/S
Honasa Consumer's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Looking at Honasa Consumer's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Honasa Consumer that you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:HONASA
Honasa Consumer
Operates as a digital-first beauty and personal care company in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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