Stock Analysis

We Think Godrej Consumer Products (NSE:GODREJCP) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

NSEI:GODREJCP
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Godrej Consumer Products Limited (NSE:GODREJCP) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Godrej Consumer Products

How Much Debt Does Godrej Consumer Products Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Godrej Consumer Products had debt of ₹32.0b, up from ₹10.6b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹25.4b, its net debt is less, at about ₹6.59b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GODREJCP Debt to Equity History November 3rd 2023

How Healthy Is Godrej Consumer Products' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Godrej Consumer Products had liabilities of ₹58.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹2.55b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹25.4b in cash and ₹13.6b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹22.2b.

Given Godrej Consumer Products has a humongous market capitalization of ₹1.01t, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, Godrej Consumer Products has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Godrej Consumer Products has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.23. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 33.4 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also positive, Godrej Consumer Products grew its EBIT by 26% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Godrej Consumer Products's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Godrej Consumer Products produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 67% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Godrej Consumer Products's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Godrej Consumer Products is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So we're not worried about the use of a little leverage on the balance sheet. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Godrej Consumer Products's earnings per share history for free.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Godrej Consumer Products is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.