The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Zydus Wellness Limited (NSE:ZYDUSWELL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Zydus Wellness
How Much Debt Does Zydus Wellness Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Zydus Wellness had ₹3.52b of debt, an increase on ₹2.16b, over one year. On the flip side, it has ₹2.54b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹979.0m.
How Strong Is Zydus Wellness' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zydus Wellness had liabilities of ₹6.06b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹183.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹2.54b and ₹1.66b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹2.04b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Zydus Wellness shares are worth a total of ₹94.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, Zydus Wellness has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Zydus Wellness has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.34. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 13.6 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the bad news is that Zydus Wellness has seen its EBIT plunge 14% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zydus Wellness's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Zydus Wellness's free cash flow amounted to 39% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Zydus Wellness's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. But truth be told its EBIT growth rate had us nibbling our nails. Considering this range of data points, we think Zydus Wellness is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Zydus Wellness .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ZYDUSWELL
Zydus Wellness
Engages in the development, production, marketing, and distribution of health and wellness products in India.
Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.