The Returns On Capital At K.C.P. Sugar and Industries (NSE:KCPSUGIND) Don't Inspire Confidence
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating K.C.P. Sugar and Industries (NSE:KCPSUGIND), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for K.C.P. Sugar and Industries, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.037 = ₹182m ÷ (₹6.7b - ₹1.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
Therefore, K.C.P. Sugar and Industries has an ROCE of 3.7%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Food industry average of 13%.
View our latest analysis for K.C.P. Sugar and Industries
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how K.C.P. Sugar and Industries has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of K.C.P. Sugar and Industries' past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at K.C.P. Sugar and Industries doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.7% from 11% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a side note, K.C.P. Sugar and Industries has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 26% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
What We Can Learn From K.C.P. Sugar and Industries' ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by K.C.P. Sugar and Industries' reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Investors must think there's better things to come because the stock has knocked it out of the park, delivering a 319% gain to shareholders who have held over the last five years. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
On a final note, we've found 3 warning signs for K.C.P. Sugar and Industries that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:KCPSUGIND
K.C.P. Sugar and Industries
Manufactures and sells sugar and related products in India.
Excellent balance sheet low.