Stock Analysis

Heritage Foods Limited (NSE:HERITGFOOD) Stocks Shoot Up 26% But Its P/E Still Looks Reasonable

NSEI:HERITGFOOD
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The Heritage Foods Limited (NSE:HERITGFOOD) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, Heritage Foods' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.8x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 16x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Heritage Foods hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Heritage Foods

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:HERITGFOOD Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 27th 2023
Keen to find out how analysts think Heritage Foods' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Heritage Foods' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Heritage Foods' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 52%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 55% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 19% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Heritage Foods is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Heritage Foods' P/E?

Heritage Foods shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Heritage Foods maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Heritage Foods (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Heritage Foods' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Heritage Foods is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.