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Earnings Working Against GP Petroleums Limited's (NSE:GULFPETRO) Share Price Following 27% Dive
To the annoyance of some shareholders, GP Petroleums Limited (NSE:GULFPETRO) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 45% in that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 26x, you may consider GP Petroleums as a highly attractive investment with its 7.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
It looks like earnings growth has deserted GP Petroleums recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many expect the uninspiring earnings performance to worsen, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for GP Petroleums
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like GP Petroleums' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 62% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why GP Petroleums is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Final Word
GP Petroleums' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that GP Petroleums maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for GP Petroleums that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than GP Petroleums. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GULFPETRO
GP Petroleums
GP Petroleums Limited formulates, manufactures, and markets industrial and automotive lubricants, rubber process oils, transformer oils, greases, and other specialties to industrial, automotive, and rubber industries in India.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.
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