Stock Analysis

Coal India (NSE:COALINDIA) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NSEI:COALINDIA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Coal India Limited (NSE:COALINDIA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Coal India

How Much Debt Does Coal India Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Coal India had debt of ₹60.9b, up from ₹37.1b in one year. But it also has ₹422.8b in cash to offset that, meaning it has ₹361.9b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:COALINDIA Debt to Equity History December 16th 2023

How Strong Is Coal India's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Coal India had liabilities of ₹602.6b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹873.8b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹422.8b and ₹242.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹810.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Coal India is worth a massive ₹2.16t, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Coal India boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Coal India's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Coal India can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Coal India has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Coal India recorded free cash flow worth 68% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While Coal India does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of ₹361.9b. The cherry on top was that in converted 68% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in ₹86b. So we are not troubled with Coal India's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Coal India (2 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Coal India is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.