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Investors Don't See Light At End Of LIC Housing Finance Limited's (NSE:LICHSGFIN) Tunnel
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.9x LIC Housing Finance Limited (NSE:LICHSGFIN) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 33x and even P/E's higher than 64x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, LIC Housing Finance has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for LIC Housing Finance
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on LIC Housing Finance will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as LIC Housing Finance's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 65%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 59% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.3% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 22% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why LIC Housing Finance is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On LIC Housing Finance's P/E
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that LIC Housing Finance maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with LIC Housing Finance (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than LIC Housing Finance. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:LICHSGFIN
LIC Housing Finance
A housing finance company, provides loans for the purchase, construction, repair, and renovation of houses/buildings in India.
Established dividend payer and good value.