Stock Analysis

Further Upside For Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (NSE:CHOLAHLDNG) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 27% Bounce

NSEI:CHOLAHLDNG
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Cholamandalam Financial Holdings Limited (NSE:CHOLAHLDNG) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 73%.

Although its price has surged higher, Cholamandalam Financial Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 64x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Cholamandalam Financial Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Cholamandalam Financial Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:CHOLAHLDNG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 6th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Cholamandalam Financial Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Cholamandalam Financial Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 40% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 178% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Cholamandalam Financial Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Cholamandalam Financial Holdings' P/E?

Cholamandalam Financial Holdings' stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Cholamandalam Financial Holdings currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Cholamandalam Financial Holdings you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Cholamandalam Financial Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.