Stock Analysis

Even With A 34% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Baid Finserv Limited's (NSE:BAIDFIN) Performance Completely

NSEI:BAIDFIN
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Baid Finserv Limited (NSE:BAIDFIN) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the last month. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Baid Finserv's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 60x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

The earnings growth achieved at Baid Finserv over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Baid Finserv

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:BAIDFIN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 16th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Baid Finserv will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Baid Finserv would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 21% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 86% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the market is similarly expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Baid Finserv is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Despite Baid Finserv's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Baid Finserv currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider market forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the company's performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Baid Finserv has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

You might be able to find a better investment than Baid Finserv. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Baid Finserv is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.