Stock Analysis

Zomato Limited Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions

NSEI:ZOMATO
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A week ago, Zomato Limited (NSE:ZOMATO) came out with a strong set of first-quarter numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. The company beat expectations with revenues of ₹42b arriving 7.4% ahead of forecasts. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) were ₹0.28, 9.7% ahead of estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Zomato

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NSEI:ZOMATO Earnings and Revenue Growth August 5th 2024

Following the latest results, Zomato's 25 analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹188.4b in 2025. This would be a huge 35% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 98% to ₹1.37. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹176.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹1.33 in 2025. So there seems to have been a moderate uplift in sentiment following the latest results, given the upgrades to both revenue and earnings per share forecasts for next year.

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 17% to ₹257per share. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Zomato analyst has a price target of ₹350 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹100.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Zomato'shistorical trends, as the 50% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 51% annual growth over the past three years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 19% annually. So although Zomato is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Zomato's earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Zomato analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Zomato .

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.