Stock Analysis

Earnings Miss: Sapphire Foods India Limited Missed EPS By 69% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

NSEI:SAPPHIRE
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Sapphire Foods India Limited (NSE:SAPPHIRE) came out with its quarterly results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. It looks like a pretty bad result, all things considered. Although revenues of ₹6.7b were in line with analyst predictions, statutory earnings fell badly short, missing estimates by 69% to hit ₹1.57 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Sapphire Foods India

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NSEI:SAPPHIRE Earnings and Revenue Growth February 13th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Sapphire Foods India from 15 analysts is for revenues of ₹31.2b in 2025. If met, it would imply a huge 24% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to plunge 40% to ₹17.61 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹32.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹23.68 in 2025. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share numbers.

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the ₹1,597 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Sapphire Foods India at ₹1,900 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹1,173. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 19% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 17% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 17% annually. So although Sapphire Foods India is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Sadly, they also downgraded their revenue forecasts, but the business is still expected to grow at roughly the same rate as the industry itself. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Sapphire Foods India going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Even so, be aware that Sapphire Foods India is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.