- India
- /
- Hospitality
- /
- NSEI:DEVYANI
Devyani International Limited's (NSE:DEVYANI) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon
When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 21x, you may consider Devyani International Limited (NSE:DEVYANI) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 67.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times have been advantageous for Devyani International as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Devyani International
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Devyani International.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Devyani International's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 172%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 9.0% as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 25%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it concerning that Devyani International is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Devyani International's P/E
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Devyani International currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Devyani International with six simple checks.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:DEVYANI
Devyani International
Develops, manages, and operates quick service restaurants and food courts in India, Nepal, Nigeria, Thailand, and internationally.
High growth potential low.