Stock Analysis

Is Uma Exports Limited's (NSE:UMAEXPORTS) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

NSEI:UMAEXPORTS
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Uma Exports (NSE:UMAEXPORTS) has had a rough three months with its share price down 15%. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study Uma Exports' ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Uma Exports

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Uma Exports is:

8.1% = ₹159m ÷ ₹2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every ₹1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ₹0.08 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Uma Exports' Earnings Growth And 8.1% ROE

It is hard to argue that Uma Exports' ROE is much good in and of itself. An industry comparison shows that the company's ROE is not much different from the industry average of 8.7% either. Therefore, the low net income growth of 3.8% seen by Uma Exports over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Uma Exports' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 26% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:UMAEXPORTS Past Earnings Growth December 19th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Uma Exports is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Uma Exports Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Uma Exports doesn't pay any regular dividends, which means that it is retaining all of its earnings. However, this doesn't explain the low earnings growth the company has seen. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Uma Exports' performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Uma Exports visit our risks dashboard for free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.