Stock Analysis

Renaissance Global Limited (NSE:RGL) Stock Catapults 26% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

NSEI:RGL
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Renaissance Global Limited (NSE:RGL) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 4.3% isn't as impressive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Renaissance Global may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 65x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Renaissance Global over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Renaissance Global

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:RGL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 9th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Renaissance Global's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Renaissance Global?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Renaissance Global's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.4%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Renaissance Global is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Renaissance Global are going to need a lot more upward momentum to get the company's P/E out of its slump. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Renaissance Global revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Renaissance Global, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Renaissance Global's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.