David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Premier Polyfilm Ltd. (NSE:PREMIERPOL) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Premier Polyfilm
What Is Premier Polyfilm's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Premier Polyfilm had debt of ₹192.9m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from ₹220.2m over a year. However, it also had ₹65.7m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹127.2m.
How Strong Is Premier Polyfilm's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Premier Polyfilm had liabilities of ₹332.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹64.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹65.7m in cash and ₹189.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹141.3m.
Since publicly traded Premier Polyfilm shares are worth a total of ₹811.8m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 0.95 and interest cover of 3.5 times, it seems to us that Premier Polyfilm is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Premier Polyfilm grew its EBIT by 9.5% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Premier Polyfilm's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Premier Polyfilm's free cash flow amounted to 22% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
Premier Polyfilm's net debt to EBITDA was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. On the other hand, its interest cover makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Premier Polyfilm's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Premier Polyfilm .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:PREMIERPOL
Premier Polyfilm
Engages in the manufacture and sale of vinyl flooring, sheeting, and artificial leather.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.