Stock Analysis

What Pil Italica Lifestyle Limited's (NSE:PILITA) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

NSEI:PILITA
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Pil Italica Lifestyle Limited (NSE:PILITA) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 59%.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Pil Italica Lifestyle as a stock to avoid entirely with its 70.1x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Pil Italica Lifestyle certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Pil Italica Lifestyle

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:PILITA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2023
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Pil Italica Lifestyle will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Growth For Pil Italica Lifestyle?

Pil Italica Lifestyle's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 238% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Pil Italica Lifestyle's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Pil Italica Lifestyle's P/E

Pil Italica Lifestyle's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Pil Italica Lifestyle revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Pil Italica Lifestyle (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.