Stock Analysis

Here's Why Moksh Ornaments (NSE:MOKSH) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

NSEI:MOKSH
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Moksh Ornaments Limited (NSE:MOKSH) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Moksh Ornaments

What Is Moksh Ornaments's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Moksh Ornaments had debt of ₹458.9m, up from ₹342.8m in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹195.9m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹263.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MOKSH Debt to Equity History January 28th 2021

How Strong Is Moksh Ornaments' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Moksh Ornaments had liabilities of ₹506.9m due within 12 months and no liabilities due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹195.9m and ₹162.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹148.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Moksh Ornaments has a market capitalization of ₹289.8m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 2.0 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.6 hit our confidence in Moksh Ornaments like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Moksh Ornaments saw its EBIT tank 45% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Moksh Ornaments's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Moksh Ornaments burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Moksh Ornaments's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Moksh Ornaments has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Moksh Ornaments is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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