Stock Analysis

Lorenzini Apparels Limited (NSE:LAL) Shares May Have Slumped 25% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

NSEI:LAL
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The Lorenzini Apparels Limited (NSE:LAL) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 47% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Lorenzini Apparels' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 66.3x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 33x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Lorenzini Apparels certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Lorenzini Apparels

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:LAL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 20th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Lorenzini Apparels' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Lorenzini Apparels' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Lorenzini Apparels' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 171%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Lorenzini Apparels is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Lorenzini Apparels' P/E

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Lorenzini Apparels' very lofty P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Lorenzini Apparels currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Lorenzini Apparels (1 is concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.