Stock Analysis

Celebrity Fashions Limited's (NSE:CELEBRITY) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

NSEI:CELEBRITY
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Celebrity Fashions Limited's (NSE:CELEBRITY) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 40x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Celebrity Fashions certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Celebrity Fashions

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NSEI:CELEBRITY Price Based on Past Earnings September 21st 2020
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Celebrity Fashions' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Celebrity Fashions' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 86% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

With this information, we can see why Celebrity Fashions is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Celebrity Fashions revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Celebrity Fashions (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Celebrity Fashions' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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