Stock Analysis

BPL Limited (NSE:BPL) Looks Just Right With A 30% Price Jump

NSEI:BPL
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The BPL Limited (NSE:BPL) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 72%.

After such a large jump in price, BPL may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 37.3x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, BPL's earnings have been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the benign earnings growth will improve to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for BPL

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:BPL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 30th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on BPL will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

BPL's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Although pleasingly EPS has lifted 111% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why BPL is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.

The Bottom Line On BPL's P/E

BPL shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that BPL maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident earnings aren't under threat. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for BPL (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of BPL's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BPL might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.