Stock Analysis
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Banaras Beads Limited (NSE:BANARBEADS) After Shares Rise 32%
The Banaras Beads Limited (NSE:BANARBEADS) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 32%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 45%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Banaras Beads' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 34x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Earnings have risen firmly for Banaras Beads recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this respectable earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
See our latest analysis for Banaras Beads
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Banaras Beads' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Banaras Beads' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 22% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 35% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Banaras Beads is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Banaras Beads' P/E is also back up to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Banaras Beads revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Banaras Beads.
If you're unsure about the strength of Banaras Beads' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Banaras Beads might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:BANARBEADS
Banaras Beads
Engages in the manufacture and sale of glass beads, necklaces, imitation jewelries, and other related products in India, the United States, South Africa, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Germany, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.