Stock Analysis

AYM Syntex (NSE:AYMSYNTEX) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:AYMSYNTEX
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that AYM Syntex Limited (NSE:AYMSYNTEX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for AYM Syntex

What Is AYM Syntex's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, AYM Syntex had ₹3.24b of debt, up from ₹2.76b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹195.8m, its net debt is less, at about ₹3.04b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AYMSYNTEX Debt to Equity History September 3rd 2024

How Healthy Is AYM Syntex's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AYM Syntex had liabilities of ₹4.65b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹1.36b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹195.8m in cash and ₹1.24b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹4.58b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹7.07b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on AYM Syntex's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about AYM Syntex's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.6, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.3 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Pleasingly, AYM Syntex is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 145% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is AYM Syntex's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, AYM Syntex created free cash flow amounting to 4.4% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

AYM Syntex's interest cover and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that AYM Syntex is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 5 warning signs for AYM Syntex (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.