Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Arham Technologies Limited (NSE:ARHAM) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Arham Technologies
What Is Arham Technologies's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Arham Technologies had ₹167.4m of debt, an increase on ₹120.5m, over one year. However, it also had ₹7.39m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹160.0m.
How Strong Is Arham Technologies' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Arham Technologies had liabilities of ₹224.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹45.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹7.39m in cash and ₹210.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹51.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Arham Technologies shares are worth a total of ₹2.18b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Arham Technologies's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.3 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.2 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. If Arham Technologies can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 17% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Arham Technologies will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Arham Technologies burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
Based on what we've seen Arham Technologies is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we thought its EBIT growth rate was a positive. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Arham Technologies's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Arham Technologies has 5 warning signs (and 3 which are concerning) we think you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ARHAM
Arham Technologies
Manufactures and sells LED smart televisions in various screen sizes under the STARSHINE brand in India.
Outstanding track record with adequate balance sheet.