Revenue Beat: Amber Enterprises India Limited Exceeded Revenue Forecasts By 5.1% And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates

It's been a good week for Amber Enterprises India Limited (NSE:AMBER) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest annual results, and the shares gained 3.7% to ₹6,444. It was a pretty mixed result, with revenues beating expectations to hit ₹100b. Statutory earnings fell 4.7% short of analyst forecasts, reaching ₹71.67 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Amber Enterprises India from 23 analysts is for revenues of ₹119.8b in 2026. If met, it would imply a decent 19% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to soar 57% to ₹113. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹116.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹120 in 2026. Overall it looks as though the analysts were a bit mixed on the latest results. Although there was a a decent to revenue, the consensus also made a minor downgrade to its earnings per share forecasts.

See our latest analysis for Amber Enterprises India

There's been no major changes to the price target of ₹7,617, suggesting that the impact of higher forecast revenue and lower earnings won't result in a meaningful change to the business' valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Amber Enterprises India at ₹10,129 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹5,192. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Amber Enterprises India's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 19% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 24% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 18% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Amber Enterprises India's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Amber Enterprises India. There was also an upgrade to revenue estimates, although as we saw earlier, forecast growth is only expected to be about the same as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Amber Enterprises India going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Amber Enterprises India , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.