RITES Limited (NSE:RITES) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to ₹1.75 on the 6th of December. The yield is still above the industry average at 3.2%.
View our latest analysis for RITES
RITES' Future Dividends May Potentially Be At Risk
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, RITES' dividend was only 59% of earnings, however it was paying out 125% of free cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.
Looking forward, EPS could fall by 7.3% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 211%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
RITES' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
It's comforting to see that RITES has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. If the company cuts once, it definitely isn't argument against the possibility of it cutting in the future. The annual payment during the last 6 years was ₹2.66 in 2018, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ₹9.00. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 23% per annum over that time. RITES has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
Dividend Growth Is Doubtful
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's not great to see that RITES' earnings per share has fallen at approximately 7.3% per year over the past five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.
RITES' Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. While RITES is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for RITES that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:RITES
RITES
Provides design, engineering consultancy, and project management services in the field of railways, highways, airports, metros, ports, ropeways, urban transport, inland waterways, and renewable energy.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.