Stock Analysis

Is Linc Pen & Plastics (NSE:LINCPEN) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:LINC
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Linc Pen & Plastics Limited (NSE:LINCPEN) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Linc Pen & Plastics

How Much Debt Does Linc Pen & Plastics Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Linc Pen & Plastics had ₹436.5m of debt in September 2020, down from ₹549.2m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹23.6m, its net debt is less, at about ₹412.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:LINCPEN Debt to Equity History March 29th 2021

How Healthy Is Linc Pen & Plastics' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Linc Pen & Plastics had liabilities of ₹696.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹209.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹23.6m as well as receivables valued at ₹360.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹521.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Linc Pen & Plastics has a market capitalization of ₹2.20b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Linc Pen & Plastics's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.7) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.61, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Even worse, Linc Pen & Plastics saw its EBIT tank 91% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Linc Pen & Plastics's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Linc Pen & Plastics actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Linc Pen & Plastics's EBIT growth rate and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. We think that Linc Pen & Plastics's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Linc Pen & Plastics (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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