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Kokuyo Camlin Limited's (NSE:KOKUYOCMLN) Shares Not Telling The Full Story
There wouldn't be many who think Kokuyo Camlin Limited's (NSE:KOKUYOCMLN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Commercial Services industry in India is very similar. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
We've discovered 1 warning sign about Kokuyo Camlin. View them for free.See our latest analysis for Kokuyo Camlin
What Does Kokuyo Camlin's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Kokuyo Camlin over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kokuyo Camlin will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Kokuyo Camlin's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.3%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 64% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Kokuyo Camlin is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Kokuyo Camlin currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Kokuyo Camlin you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kokuyo Camlin, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kokuyo Camlin might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KOKUYOCMLN
Kokuyo Camlin
Engages in the manufacturing, selling, and trading of scholastic, writing instruments, notebooks, marker pens, inks, fine-art colours and accessories, hobby colours, pencils and other stationery products in India.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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