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Welspun Enterprises (NSE:WELENT) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues
Welspun Enterprises Limited (NSE:WELENT) just released a solid earnings report, and the stock displayed some strength. However, we think that shareholders should be cautious as we found some worrying factors underlying the profit.
Our free stock report includes 2 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Welspun Enterprises. Read for free now.Examining Cashflow Against Welspun Enterprises' Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to March 2025, Welspun Enterprises had an accrual ratio of 0.24. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of ₹3.3b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of ₹3.52b. We also note that Welspun Enterprises' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of ₹3.3b.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Welspun Enterprises' Profit Performance
Welspun Enterprises didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Welspun Enterprises' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Welspun Enterprises at this point in time. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Welspun Enterprises (1 shouldn't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Welspun Enterprises' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:WELENT
Welspun Enterprises
Engages in the engineering, procurement, and construction of infrastructure development projects in India.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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