We Think Somi Conveyor Beltings (NSE:SOMICONVEY) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Somi Conveyor Beltings Limited (NSE:SOMICONVEY) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Somi Conveyor Beltings
How Much Debt Does Somi Conveyor Beltings Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Somi Conveyor Beltings had ₹240.9m of debt, an increase on ₹212.7m, over one year. However, it also had ₹24.6m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹216.3m.
How Strong Is Somi Conveyor Beltings's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Somi Conveyor Beltings had liabilities of ₹298.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹49.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹24.6m and ₹155.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹168.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Somi Conveyor Beltings has a market capitalization of ₹306.3m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
While we wouldn't worry about Somi Conveyor Beltings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.8, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.3 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. However, one redeeming factor is that Somi Conveyor Beltings grew its EBIT at 17% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Somi Conveyor Beltings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Somi Conveyor Beltings's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Somi Conveyor Beltings's struggle to cover its interest expense with its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to to grow its EBIT isn't too shabby at all. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Somi Conveyor Beltings is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Somi Conveyor Beltings (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:SOMICONVEY
Somi Conveyor Beltings
Manufactures and sells industrial conveyor belts in India.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.